Review Currency and Commodity Trading Techniques - Target Gold and Oil Alternatives

Wednesday, August 11, 2010

An analysis of currency and commodity trading refers the keen trader to the currencies of nations whose economic output and subsequent exports are chiefly commodities, like raw materials like aluminium, oil and gold and agricultural product like sugar, soybean or livestock.
While it would not be wrong to refer to several world currencies as commodity currencies, this can be not the intention when traders use this description. Those that follow currency and commodity trading trends, however, use the term to describe the 3 major countries in which commodities play a serious role in each economic output and exports.
A observe trading charts shows how changes in international commodity prices seem correlated to the Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollar currencies, with the Australian dollar a terribly sensible proxy for gold value movements, and the price of crude oil price will appear to correlate closely with movements within the Canadian dollar (CAD). Not like the opposite two commodity currencies, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) or "Kiwi" does not appear to be linked to any specific commodity , but rather shows a close correlation with price changes within the broader live of Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) Index.
Let's take into account what happens as gold strengthens? We will expect to observe an analogous rise in the AUD/USD pair (the Aussie), as all currencies trade in pairs. This equates to a strengthening of the Australian dollar versus the US greenback, or put it another method, the US greenback is weakening in that pair. The onset of economic uncertainty in the world economy, like recession or rising inflation, prompts investors to move into gold as it is regarded as a safe haven. Currency and commodity traders will also see how gold links to the Aussie, and trade this combine instead.
Australia gets a vital share of its output from commodities and over fifty per cent of its exports are from this source, with gold, other precious metals and copper taking part in a massive role. Take a look at trading information to work out the strongly positive correlation of the Aussie and gold. This suggests a switched-on trader will either trade gold futures or an ETF, or gain exposure to AUD/USD in the spot forex market.
Market information will show the keen observer of currency and commodity trading the many half played in the worldwide commodities market by Canada, particularly when it comes to its role as a strategic crude oil producer. This results in the inverse correlation observed between crude oil price changes and the movement of the USD/CAD (the Loonie) pair.
Canada could be a major oil provider to its neighbour the USA, that in flip consumes more oil than any other economy. A low crude oil worth would be unhealthy news for the Canadian dollar, though positive for both the US economy and US dollar. Any trader bearish concerning the outlook for crude oil prices could as a proxy go short the Canadian dollar in the forex market, instead of going short Nymex crude or shopping for inverse ETF's in oil.
Knowing how these three currencies are linked closely with commodities, we have a tendency to will see why currency and commodity trading observers take their likelihood in spot forex trading to make the most of commodity market movements, whether in crude oil, gold or more broadly across the commodities spectrum. There's always a bull market in currency trading, thus decide what you're long or short in your chosen currency pair.

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